AI 到处都是,为什么“AI原生组织”还没出现?
八成企业尚未看到 AI 影响利润。问题不只是模型能力,而是企业仍把智能体塞进旧流程:工作流、治理、领导方式与人才成长必须一起重做。

企业界正在经历一场声势浩大却收效尴尬的技术实验。几乎所有公司都在启动 AI 试点,但超过八成的企业报告称,这些项目尚未在财务底线上看到实际成效。这种“处处都在用 AI、财务底线却尚未见效”的落差,构成了当前企业智能化转型中最大的悖论。
很多人将问题归咎于模型能力或算力成本,但麦肯锡全球资深合伙人 Alexis Krivkovich 指出,真正的瓶颈不在技术,而在组织本身。企业习惯于用采购软件的旧逻辑去引入 AI,结果只是在原有的科层架构中增加了零散的单点工具。如果日常工作流程、团队协同机制、权力监督边界和领导力习惯依然停留在工业时代,哪怕给员工配齐最先进的生成式 AI,也只能制造出更多无序的协作摩擦和随处漂浮的内容垃圾。从单点实验走向真正的企业级回报,核心在于将企业重塑为“AI 原生组织”(agentic organization):业务模式、端到端流程、治理、人才与技术底座,都围绕人和 AI 智能体的协作重新设计。
为什么超过八成企业的 AI 投资尚未看到底线成效:单点工具救不了断裂的端到端流程
企业之所以难以将 AI 试点转化为底线收益,根本原因在于绝大多数项目都落入了“单点工具”(Point Solutions)的陷阱。传统试点通常着眼于某个高度孤立的具体任务。这类工具确实能让局部任务提速,但企业的商业价值从来不是由单个任务决定的,而是产生于串联多个部门的端到端完整流程,例如保险承保或人力资源从招聘到入职的业务闭环。
在传统企业中,真正消耗成本、拖慢进度的往往不只是一项任务本身,还包括节点之间的协同与交接。一项业务从发起、流转、合规审查到最终交付,中间可能包含大量跨部门沟通和反复核对。如果端到端工作流没有重新设计,单点工具提速可能只是让某个节点更快地把半成品推向下一个堵塞环节。超过 80% 的企业表示 AI 投资尚未体现在底线收益上;真正需要回答的问题已经从“怎样再做一个试点”,变成“怎样重新设计整条业务流”。
智能体(Agentic AI)与生成式 AI 单点工具的核心区别,在于它能够参与到端到端的工作流程之中,而不仅仅局限于孤立的单点任务。只有当企业放弃只修补局部任务的思路,转而重构整个端到端流程时,规模化价值才会显现。单点工具无法弥合跨部门协作的断裂缝隙,真正的破局点在于将整个业务流作为整体重塑,让智能体参与到端到端流程的协同之中。
端到端流程重塑:从人在环路内走向人在环路之上
重构端到端流程不是一句抽象口号,而是需要深入业务机理的颗粒度极细的设计工作。业务领导者在重塑流程时,必须逐一回答五个关键问题:流程中的哪些环节应当完全由智能体自主执行;哪些环节必须保留人在环路之内;哪些环节可以让人类退至环路之上进行监督;何时需要由多个专业智能体组成协同团队;以及如何将训练成熟的智能体沉淀为可复用的资产,在整个企业中跨场景调用。
这也带来了工作方式的根本分野。在传统的“人在环路内”(Human-in-the-loop)模式中,智能体只做辅助,完成一段工作后必须交接给人类,人类处理完毕再推给机器,人与机器始终处于频繁的交替协作中。另一种“人在环路之上”(Human-above-the-loop)的模式则是:如果协同工作的智能体团队能够端到端地跑完大部分、甚至整个核心流程,人类便可以减少对日常操作细节的介入,转而负责定义规则、审核异常,并行使最终判断权。
交互对照 · 工作流示意
AI 进入流程的方式,决定人究竟忙在哪里
三种方式可以并存。先读完三张卡,再选择一种方式,观察同一条端到端流程中的交接、人工位置和主要风险。
- 人的位置
- 执行、核对,并负责跨节点衔接
- 可能获得的价值
- 局部任务提速
- 主要风险
- 交接仍然拥堵,低质量输出还会增加复核工作
这是概念流程示意,不表示所有企业都应直接进入“人在环上”。两种人机介入方式会长期并存,具体选择取决于流程、判断要求与风险。
这种模式在复杂专业服务场景中已经展现出清晰的轮廓。以美国仲裁协会(American Arbitration Association, AAA)的案件审理重塑为例:
仲裁流程智能化重塑:传统商业纠纷仲裁往往涉及大量案卷材料。在该机构的探索中,技术团队利用已结案的历史卷宗对智能体进行训练,让智能体梳理时间线、审查事实底稿、审视双方材料,并形成裁决建议摘要。
人类仲裁员的角色:这套系统是嵌入工作流中的决策支持工具。人类仲裁员审视整体结果,并追问自己是否认同该项决定,最终的裁决判断与责任始终由人类仲裁员承担。
在少数早期探索者的实践中,已经出现由 2 至 5 名员工监督 50 至 100 个专业智能体的模式,但这绝非现阶段的普适基准。人在环路内与人在环路之上将在未来长期并存,企业必须根据流程复杂度、判断要求与风险等级设计介入机制。
日常工作方式的彻底颠覆:时间重构、全员参与与技术落地的双重路径
当智能体融入端到端流程,改变的不只是所用的软件。员工每天如何分配时间、管理者如何监督一组智能体、团队如何共同解决问题,以及风险与治理如何覆盖整条流程,都需要重新设计。经理人的工作也会从单纯向下分派任务,逐步转向设定目标、监督执行、处理例外并承担最终责任。
这种流程重塑不能只由管理层或技术部门单独完成。领导者掌握业务目标、资源和风险边界,处在日常工作中的员工则了解真实操作、交接盲区和例外情况。不同层级的人需要共同思考流程可以怎样改变,把战略判断与一线经验放进同一套设计中。
在技术组织模式上,当前企业主要有两种形态:
特种攻坚团队(SWAT-style Teams):从技术部门抽调力量组建攻坚团队,支持各业务条线。
业务内嵌专家(Embedded Expertise):将专业技术能力直接内嵌到各个业务领域之中。
领导层首先要改造自己:跨越幻觉与 AI 垃圾的信任鸿沟,直面持续学习的现实
任何组织转型的天花板,归根结底都在于最高管理层自身的认知与行为模式。如果领导者要求整家企业拥抱颠覆,自己的日常工作习惯却纹丝不动,转型注定沦为空谈。领导层需要严肃审视自己的工作日历,并提出一个自省之问:自己是否真正重新分配了 50% 的时间?这一反问的核心在于促使管理者审视自己是否真正在实质性地重新分配时间,而非设立一个硬性的达标门槛,更不是浅尝辄止地让 AI 润色一封邮件或生成几条查询指令。
阻碍全员跟进的核心阻力不仅来自对失业的恐惧,也来自当前存在的“信任鸿沟”。人们既听过大模型幻觉的案例,也在工作中收到越来越多低质量的“AI 垃圾”(AI slop)。当缺乏实质价值的生成内容在公司内部流转时,它不仅不会节省时间,反而会给同事增加核实和清理负担。
管理者需要带头走出浅层试水并审视自身时间分配。在控制风险的同时,他们还要让员工看到新工具可能带来的机会。推进应用时也要承认当前仍处于学习阶段:早期部署会犯错,判断力和风险管理不能被乐观叙事取代;如果某些岗位发生深刻变化,企业还要帮助员工学习新工具或转向相邻岗位。
监督、评判与问题解决等能力愈发重要:75% 岗位重塑与初级人才梯队的断层困境
生产力工具的代际变迁正在引发人类能力光谱的调整。AI 擅长进行研究、数学计算和数据科学等工作,但这并不意味着智能体已经全面接管了这些任务。人类员工依然需要掌握这些知识,但监督、评判、问题解决以及运营能力正变得更加重要。
调研中,近半数领导者认为存在技能缺口。同时,岗位描述在未来两到三年内将发生变化,而当前已有 75% 的岗位需要经历根本性重塑。绝大多数岗位并不会凭空消失,但在日常工作中,监督、评判、问题解决与运营能力将变得更加重要,而非评判成为了唯一的本职。
然而,这种能力转移也引出了一个棘手的代际问题:初级人才怎样获得成长所需的经验?过去,资深专业人士的直觉和判断力,往往来自职业生涯早期大量基础工作的积累。以软件工程为例,如果企业把所有初级软件工程师岗位都取消,只留下昂贵的资深人员,十年后从哪里产生下一代人才?AI 可以接走部分基础工作,但组织仍要重新设计新人获得反馈、形成判断力并逐步承担复杂任务的路径。
面对这一困局,组织的人才发展机制必须迎来底层重构:
培训从周期性副驾变为员工旅程的核心环节:传统的企业培训就像一辆挂在组织边上的“边车”(Sidecar),偶尔开展一次,被视作锦上添花。但在智能体时代,能力培养需要被放到员工成长旅程的中心,而不能继续作为可有可无的附加项。
发挥新生代从第一天起使用工具的优势:新一代年轻员工的优势在于从进入职场的第一天起就可以使用这些工具。企业管理者需要思考如何将这种始于第一天的使用优势,转化为加速培养其系统思考与业务评判力的新型孵化器。
将变革管理确立为组织的永恒常态:企业必须告别将组织变革视作“阶段性战役”的旧思维,坦然接受持续迭代的动态现实,在永不停歇的变化中维持秩序而不陷入混乱。
打破管理层级膨胀:工作单元、流动人才与双向门实验文化
过去十年间,多数公司在最高层与一线之间增加了至少一个管理层级,一些企业甚至增加了两到三层。多出来的层级不仅增加管理成本,也会让更多人参与决策、拖慢决策速度。如果智能体能扩大管理者有效管理的范围,企业就可能减少部分层级,让信息与决策流动得更快。
不同业务领域重构组织形态的逻辑有所不同。在制药研发领域,大规模智能体集群可能会提升创新速度,同时科学家依然保留;而在人力资源、财务等中后台职能部门,引入智能体的直接目标在于减少事务性工作,使人力能够投入到更具价值的业务环节中。
对于以工作单元(Pods)取代传统架构的设想,其最终形态目前下结论还为时过早。多数企业目前远未达到围绕工作单元进行组织的阶段,传统的职位层级依然为绩效评估与管理提供支持。在未来的组织演进中,能够促进人才灵活流动的人力资源职能可能会获得优势。
与组织形态变革相匹配的,是一种全新的组织文化:
跨层级协作与教练式文化:企业需要倡导全员的好奇心与终身学习,重用那些能够打破部门藩篱、带领跨职能团队共同解决复杂问题,并以教练姿态引导同事消除恐惧、拥抱新工作模式的人才。
双向门实验原则:在巨大的未知面前,组织既要敢于冒险,又绝不能赌上整家公司的命运。企业必须大量设计“双向门”(Two-way doors)式的可逆实验——迈进门去探索创新,如果行不通,团队随时可以体面地退回原处,迅速转向下一条探索路径,坚决避免在没有经过充分验证的情况下跨入不可逆的“单向门”。
五根支柱要一起立起来,AI 原生组织才能真正运转
走到这里可以看出,AI 原生组织并不是在旧公司里多放一些 Agent。它要求企业同时改造价值来源、工作流、控制机制、人的角色和技术底座。五根支柱各自回答一个不同的问题,任何一根缺位,端到端价值都会在相邻环节卡住。
业务模式(Business Model)回答“价值从哪里来”。 AI 原生渠道可以提供实时、高度个性化的服务;AI-first 工作流也可能让边际交付成本逐步接近算力成本。在这个过程中,获得授权的专有数据会成为重要差异化资产。例如,客户智能体可以在不同银行账户之间无摩擦地调拨资金以寻找更优利率,原本依赖转移摩擦维持的商业护城河便会受到挑战。
运营模式(Operating Model)回答“价值怎样被交付”。 企业需要围绕结果重画端到端流程,决定哪些步骤交给智能体、哪些节点保留人在环中、哪些流程由人站在环上监督。目标导向的小团队可以统筹一组专业智能体,减少传统职能之间的反复交接,但人仍然负责边界、例外与最终判断。
治理体系(Governance)回答“自主运行怎样不失控”。 审查智能体可以挑战输出,护栏智能体可以执行内部政策,合规智能体可以持续监测规则;人类则保留最终责任,界定红线、处理异常,并根据风险动态调整自主级别。这里有一个容易忽略的新瓶颈:当智能体规模迅速扩大,人类有限的监督和审核能力可能先被耗尽。
组织、人才与文化(Workforce, People, and Culture)回答“人怎样重新创造价值”。 执行工作减少后,人的重心会转向设定目标、权衡取舍、处理例外和推动结果。三类角色正在浮现:跨领域调度智能体与混合团队的“M 型”监督者,重画流程并处理例外的“T 型”专家,以及借助 AI 腾出更多时间服务人的一线员工。共同语境、信任、凝聚力、长期目标和持续学习,则让分散的小团队不会各自为战。
技术与数据(Technology and Data)回答“这一切靠什么稳定连接”。 企业需要把可复用的智能体、数据产品、内部系统和机器连接起来,同时保护自己的专有语境。智能体的结构、逻辑与数据应尽量与底层供应商分离,避免关键能力随着某个模型或平台的变化而被锁死。
这五项不是从左到右做完即止的清单,而是一个相互牵动的系统:业务模式决定值得重塑什么,运营模式把价值变成流程,治理决定可以放出多少自主权,人才与文化决定人能否接住新职责,技术与数据则把它们连接并沉淀下来。下面的关系图不增加新结论,只帮助你观察其中一根发生变化时,其他支柱为什么也必须跟着调整。
系统关系图 · 理解示意
点一根支柱,看它如何牵动整个系统
五项内容已经在上文完整展开。这里把它们放进同一张图,帮助你看清每根支柱的任务、单独推进时的断点,以及必须与谁接力。
业务模式
- 这根支柱要完成什么
- 找到 AI 能改变客户价值、收入结构或边际成本的地方。
- 如果只做这一项
- 有商业想象,却没有新的工作流把价值稳定交付出来。
- 必须怎样接力
- 把价值主张交给运营模式落成流程,并由技术与数据提供可复用能力。
这是一张理解关系的示意图,不代表固定的实施顺序。现实中的五根支柱通常需要并行调整,并在一个具体业务领域里反复校准。
真正落地时,可以从一至两个具有战略价值的“灯塔业务领域”开始:把 AI 原生组织建设放上最高管理层的常态议程,由 CEO 给出清晰愿景,用技术卓越中心(Center of Excellence, CoE)沉淀工程标准,同时推进全员技能重塑。这样做的重点不是先搭出一套庞大架构,而是在真实业务中把五根支柱一起跑通,再把可复用的能力扩展到其他领域。
建立 AI 原生组织不是一次轻率的技术跃进。AI 原生组织的落地节奏取决于外部算力、监管与风险偏好,也取决于底层基础模型能力的演进速度、具身智能与物理世界接口的成熟度,以及公众社会的接纳程度。它不是一场单点工具的军备竞赛,而是一场关乎权力、流程、人才与信任的组织重塑。
AI 处处都在,AI 原生组织为何尚未出现?
企业界正经历一场声势浩大却收效尴尬的技术实验。很多管理者将回报迟滞归咎于大模型幻觉或算力成本,但真正的瓶颈在于组织本身:企业习惯于沿用采购传统软件的旧逻辑引入 AI,结果只是在既有的工业时代科层里增加了零星的单点插件,制造了更多协作摩擦与无序内容。
单点工具通常只能给孤立任务提速。然而企业的商业价值产生于串联多个部门的端到端完整流程。如果业务流本身没有重构,局部任务提速只会把半成品更快推向下一个拥堵节点,使跨部门协同的缝隙更加尖锐。
端到端流程重塑:从人在环内走向人在环上
智能体(Agentic AI)与生成式单点工具的本质区别,在于其能够深度融入端到端流程。重塑流程带来了人机协同形态的根本分野:
智能体仅作点状工具。每个节点完成后必须频繁推给人类确认,人机频繁乒乓交接,协同摩擦与沟通损耗居高不下。
多智能体协同跑通绝大部分端到端流程。人类从琐碎操作细节中抽离,退至环路之上制定规则、处置异常并进行最终裁决。
在商业纠纷仲裁中,智能体自主完成案卷时间线梳理、事实底稿比对并起草裁决建议;人类仲裁员则始终站在环路之上,追问自己是否认同判断,最终裁决权与法律责任由人类仲裁员完全承担。
五根支柱协同运作:AI 原生组织的系统性机制
回答“价值从哪里来”。以 AI 原生渠道提供全天候实时个性化交付,将边际成本推近算力成本;专有数据资产瓦解以转换摩擦为壁垒的传统商业护城河。
回答“价值怎样被交付”。围绕最终成果重画端到端业务流,明确环内与环上分工,由敏捷小组统筹专业智能体集群协同运行。
回答“自主运行怎样不失控”。部署审查、护栏与合规智能体进行持续机审,动态调控自主权限,避免人类监督带宽率先枯竭。
回答“人怎样重新创造价值”。执行性事务移交机器,人类聚焦设定目标、权衡取舍与处置异常;形成 M 型监督者与 T 型专家新梯队。
回答“这一切靠什么稳定连接”。将智能体业务逻辑与底层模型供应商解耦,沉淀高质量专有数据产品,保障系统韧性与自主演进。
能力光谱重排与组织文化的底层重构
随着智能体全面接管常规计算与分析任务,员工的核心能力向监督、评判、复杂问题解决与运营管理加速倾斜。但这一迁移也引发了组织新课题:如果基础工作全部交由 AI,刚入职的年轻一代如何积累成长为资深专家所需的敏锐判断力?
传统企业培训常如挂在边缘的“边车”,偶发且次要。在 75% 岗位经历重塑的背景下,能力培养必须置于员工旅程中心。企业需将年轻一代从第一天起使用 AI 的原生优势,转化为加速培养其端到端系统思考与业务评判力的新型孵化器。
针对过去十年企业内部普遍新增 1 至 2 个管理层级的臃肿现状,智能体通过扩大有效管理跨度推进组织扁平化。企业必须践行“双向门”(Two-way doors)实验原则:大胆迈进门去探索创新;若行不通体面退回,坚决避免在缺乏验证时跨入不可逆的单向门豪赌。
AI 原生组织并非一蹴而就的全面冒进。成熟企业应当在最高管理层设立常态议程,由 CEO 确立愿景,依托卓越中心(CoE)沉淀工程与工程规范,在 1 至 2 个兼具业务价值与容错空间的“灯塔业务领域”率先跑通五根支柱的协同闭环,再向全局稳健推广。
AI is everywhere. The agentic organization isn’t—yet
Why AI pilots often fail to deliver returns, and how agentic organizations reshape workflows, teams, and leadership to create business value.
Yes, AI is astonishing: fast, powerful, and learning every day. But even as leaders strike up new pilots across their organizations, most still struggle to translate experimentation into enterprise value—and now, agentic AI is raising the stakes. In this episode of The McKinsey Podcast, McKinsey Senior Partner Alexis Krivkovich speaks with Global Editorial Director Lucia Rahilly about what it will take to build an “agentic organization”—from reimagining workflows to reshaping leadership roles, skills, and culture for a future where humans increasingly operate above the loop.
The McKinsey Podcast is cohosted by Lucia Rahilly and Roberta Fusaro.
The following transcript has been edited for clarity and length.
The great AI paradox
Lucia Rahilly: Alexis, we hear a lot about companies investing in agentic AI without realizing corresponding returns. In fact, our own research shows the complexity of delivering on the promise of agentic AI at any kind of scale. Where are we now?
Alexis Krivkovich: The great paradox is just that. Companies expect massive transformations from AI and have invested with that mindset. Yet more than 80 percent of companies say they’re not yet seeing impact on the bottom line from those investments.
The real question is “How do we meet this moment and create the agentic organization of the future?” In every conversation I have, leaders feel like they’re on the precipice of that question. What they’re trying to think through is really a set of questions: “How are roles going to change? What are the skills we’ll need in the future? How do I bring along our workforce with excitement, not fear? How do I drive that change so it hits every corner of the organization?”
Lucia Rahilly: The research outlines five pillars that make up the new agentic organization. Let’s start with the first, an organization’s business model. What are some examples that help illustrate the value at stake for leaders?
Alexis Krivkovich: Suppose the world could move toward near-zero marginal cost of delivery. How would that change what you’re able to bring to customers, how you’re able to tailor and hypersegment to the unit of one, and how you think about that in the context of mobilizing growth? What does it look like if you’re a tech player that does content distribution and you can tailor experience down to the individual consumer across millions of people? What does that open up in terms of how you create and enable commerce?
If you take that a step further, the question becomes “On the receiving end, what if the small business or individual has agents interacting on their behalf?” For example, imagine a customer has an agent that can move money frictionlessly across bank accounts to seek the best rate. That fundamentally changes the moat that has existed in financial services since the beginning of time. We don’t do this now because the process of making these changes is incredibly hard. If that suddenly goes away, the entirety of how you think about your business model, both the opportunity and the risk associated with competitive threat, changes.
Rethinking teams for the agentic era
Lucia Rahilly: You’re one of the global leaders of our People & Organizational Performance Practice. Talk to us about how you see team structures functioning in this agentic era.
Alexis Krivkovich: The real promise with agentic, relative to generative AI or previous evolutions of AI, is that you can have the equivalent of superhuman capabilities added to your teams. But the day-to-day workflows and the rituals around ways of working will need to fundamentally change.
The day-to-day workflows and the rituals around ways of working will need to fundamentally change.
That’s what we mean when we say the operating model needs to shift. You need to think about how the hours of the day happen differently, the process of overseeing an agent population, how you engage in problem-solving as a team—and put the right governance and risk controls on top of that.
For most companies, this is all new ground. We now have the opportunity and the challenge to grapple with it nearly everywhere simultaneously because the use cases are so broad.
Lucia Rahilly: As you note, it’s super early, and everyone’s model is being upended. But let’s take your work with pioneers in this area. Where are folks starting in terms of rethinking their org charts, for example?
Alexis Krivkovich: Org charts are tricky. We’re still too early to say, and the answer may look quite different across domains.
Take pharma: A lot of life sciences and pharma companies are envisioning huge squads of agents in the R&D space. That doesn’t mean the researchers and scientists they have today will be replaced in the org chart. It means they’ll be able to supercharge the speed at which they can innovate.
But in some other areas—HR, finance, legal—companies envision corporate functions as cost centers that deliver critical execution capabilities but don’t drive the front end of value generation. There’s a real hope that the agentic capability can transform how that work gets done and who does it, to enable more capacity in other aspects of the business.
Most companies have added at least one layer to their structure, from the CEO all the way to the front line, over the past decade. In some organizations, it’s more like two or three layers. Not only is that expensive, it also slows decision-making because more people weigh in before any decision can be made. There’s hope that AI will enable leaders to have a more superhuman capacity to manage across bigger scopes. That would allow companies to flatten their structure and get faster in the process.
Lucia Rahilly: What should leaders be doing to develop the skills they need both to manage broader spans of talent and to oversee agentic tech?
Alexis Krivkovich: Just about everybody in the workforce is going to need a new job description in the next two to three years. Most roles won’t go away, but they’ll be reshaped. Seventy-five percent of roles need fundamental reshaping right now. That includes people leading teams and those who report to them.
Seventy-five percent of roles need fundamental reshaping right now. That includes people leading teams and those who report to them.
So when we ask about capability-building needs, nearly half of leaders say they think they see skill gaps in their organization. And most would say they’d really benefit from more training, more capability building, and more support—all the way up to senior leadership.
What ‘reimagining workflows’ really means
Lucia Rahilly: We talk a lot about reimagining workflows from end to end. What does this look like in practice, and what are the potential implications?
Alexis Krivkovich: The best use cases, where AI is enabling scalable impact, are where a workflow can be reimagined in its entirety. That’s because those workflows typically cut across multiple teams and areas of a company. In a traditional context, there’s a lot of connecting the dots across touchpoints and people. This is where agentic can be incredibly valuable because it can be part of that connection stream in a fast, multifaceted way.
So for companies, instead of point solutions, where you take one task and use AI to accomplish it better and faster, we’re now talking about a whole workflow: How do I take something like insurance underwriting and rethink that end to end? How do I take the HR “hire to onboard” process and reimagine that end to end? That’s where we’re seeing the magic start to happen.
But that’s also deep, granular work. You have to rethink a whole process and ask, “Where does it benefit from having an agent? Where do I need a human in the loop, or above the loop, to supervise? Where do I need a team of agents? How do I make them reusable, so once they’re trained, I can deploy them in multiple places?”
That’s the systems thinking that is starting to unlock opportunities at scale, and it has exciting potential. But it requires a set of individuals who can do that type of problem-solving and leaders who can pick areas ripe for being lighthouse use cases.
Lucia Rahilly: What would the composition of a team thinking about reimagining certain processes look like?
Alexis Krivkovich: I think this change, bringing together multiple levels of the workforce simultaneously, is one of the really exciting opportunities with AI. The potential is actually up and down the chain of command, the hierarchy of the organization. You need people at all levels thinking about how that process could look different.
The potential is actually up and down the chain of command, the hierarchy of the organization. You need people at all levels thinking about how that process could look different.
A huge part of the unlock with agentic is executive function—reviewing the results of work done. You still need human judgment, but you have the potential to take tasks historically done by managers, or even senior leaders, and do much of the quality control, review, and pattern recognition assessment through the agentic process. This means you need folks at all levels, from leaders down to employees deep in the day-to-day flow of work, to be involved in thinking about how the process would look different.
Lucia Rahilly: Does that also have implications for the organization of the tech function?
Alexis Krivkovich: There are different models playing out. Many companies are creating SWAT-type teams that they can draw on, from within tech, to enable change. Others are embedding expertise inside each area of the business. It’s a classic example of trying to both change yourself and transform the organization at the same time.
What the agentic paradigm shift means for leadership
Lucia Rahilly: In the research, you call this the biggest paradigm shift since the industrial and digital revolutions. How should executives be thinking about leading organizational change at that scale?
Alexis Krivkovich: One big question for leaders is “How do I need to show up differently to lead the organization forward?” And as one said, “If this will radically transform everything about our business, we as a leadership team need to start by radically transforming ourselves.” In other words, is 50 percent of my time spent differently because I can access AI to do my job? Or am I dabbling—tightening an email here, querying there, but not really rethinking the hours of my day? If I am radically changing how I spend my time, how do I talk about that within the organization?
A huge trust gap exists today. Some of the early experimentation with AI has proven to have real faults—the hallucination stories we read in the headlines are real. And the slop that moves around a company through poor use of AI can create more work, not less. So how do you, as a leader, get people excited about what’s possible while overlaying good judgment and risk management? How do you acknowledge that we’re in a learning mode rather than a mature state of deployment?
Lucia Rahilly: There must be a certain amount of resistance that’s fear-driven as well. Folks think they may lose their jobs and be replaced by agentic AI.
Alexis Krivkovich: The technology is not going to stop. There’s that line, you won’t be replaced by AI, but you may be replaced by someone who embraces AI before you do. I think that’s a real question for the employee base. And as a leader, how do I get you excited about new skills, new tooling that could make you more successful? And if that’s not in this role, because this role will transform so dramatically, perhaps it’s in an adjacent role.
When judgment becomes the job
Lucia Rahilly: On that topic, do you see any new talent profiles that you think will be essential? How might employees begin to develop those skills?
Alexis Krivkovich: Some of the skills being affected you’d expect, because AI is really good at research, math, data science. But other aspects of those skill profiles are becoming even more prominent: strategic thinking, systems orientation, people management soft skills—they’re all on the rise. In an AI-augmented world, the first set of skills is still needed but you can do much more with them with the assistance of agents. What we’ll need even more of is oversight, judgment, problem-solving capabilities, and the operational capabilities human leaders bring as the overlay.
Lucia Rahilly: We’ve previously referred to humans in the loop. In this latest piece, I noticed we seem to be evolving toward humans “above the loop.” Is that a relevant difference?
Alexis Krivkovich: Yes. It’s a great distinction. To be clear, we will see both in the future. Having a human in the loop suggests agents are doing pieces of the process, then passing it to a human who does other pieces. Having a human above the loop suggests that if we get to a place where teams of AI agents are able to do most, if not the entire core process, the human’s role becomes judgment on top.
Let me give you an example. We’ve reimagined the American Arbitration Association’s process when a case is sent in for review. The traditional process involves gathering hundreds, if not thousands, of different data points, including photographic exhibits of contracts and email exchanges; reviewing the case file; and deciding on the right answer based on the terms of the agreement. This can take a really long time.
So we asked: “Could we train agents, using closed case files, to put together the timeline, review the fact base, look at both sides of the argument, and come to a summary decision?” We found that these agents could not only do much of the core work but, in some cases, do it better. You still need a human to look at that whole process and ask, “Do I agree with the decision the agents have come to?” It’s still incredibly critical to have that judgment layer, that human layer. But a lot of the work underneath can be done end to end by agentic AI.
Lucia Rahilly: Judgment is developed over time. How do junior employees develop the skills to oversee AI without the hazing grunt work their leaders did in the pre-agentic era?
Alexis Krivkovich: This is the billion-dollar question. If you eliminate every new software engineer, you have a very expensive model of only senior folks. If you roll that movie forward ten years, you’re also missing the next generation of talent you need.
If you eliminate every new software engineer, you have a very expensive model of only senior folks. If you roll that movie forward ten years, you’re also missing the next generation of talent you need.
The investment in learning and development is a bit of a sidecar. It’s viewed as important. It’s certainly valued by employees. But it runs periodically. In the future, I think it should be at the center of the journey people go on as employees, because the next generation will have access to all these tools from day one. So while they may not have the pattern recognition of 20 years of reviewing case law, they also won’t have the hurdle of being 20 years into a career and trying to figure out a massively disruptive and powerful technology for the first time. So leaders should ask, “How do I make that access from day one actually work to their advantage?”
The other aspect is capability building to help people see that change management is no longer an episodic thing. It’s a perpetual state. And we’re going to have to get really good at being comfortable in constant change without introducing chaos and risk into the organization.
Change management is no longer an episodic thing. It’s a perpetual state.
Talent in a time of change
Lucia Rahilly: Any thoughts on how these changes will affect the shape of an organization’s talent hierarchy?
Alexis Krivkovich: I think it’s too early to have an answer on the final state of the shape of organizations. AI will absolutely enable that.
For example, there’s a lot of excitement about organizing around pods of work as opposed to traditional job hierarchies—pods that form and reform, are reusable, and move across the organization more nimbly. That’s really hard for companies to do in practice. You need a job hierarchy so people can be evaluated and know whom to go to for managerial support.
So I think we’re still pretty far away from seeing most companies reorganize themselves around that principle. But I do think this idea of fluid talent flows is going to increase. Organizations that have an HR function that enables this flow and can support nimbler movement of talent will have a competitive advantage.
Lucia Rahilly: What are the implications for organizational culture in the context of a transformation of this magnitude?
Alexis Krivkovich: In this moment, organizations that foster curiosity and continuous learning will be in a great space because so much is still unknown. We need people who want to experiment and learn.
The people who can do joint problem-solving, who can bring together people from across the organization, coach them on how to work into new models to explore the change with optimism and not fear—those people will be a premium as well.
We also need people who can strike the critical balance between taking some risks and not betting the company. This is going to be one of those moments where we have to be highly iterative. We need two-way doors, not one-way doors. We need situations where we can experiment and explore. And if it doesn’t work, we pull back and go into the next pathway.
Lucia Rahilly: Super interesting. Alexis, thanks so much for joining us today.
Alexis Krivkovich: It was such a pleasure.
